The perfect Sunday on the sports activities calendar is upon us, however earlier than this 12 months’s subject of 68 begins to be introduced at 6 p.m. ET, let’s take a look at the three largest questions heading into the 2025 bracket reveal.
1. Who would be the No. 1 total seed?
School basketball hasn’t had a two-horse race on the prime of the game like this since. . .effectively, since final 12 months with UConn and Purdue. However even with the Huskies and Boilermakers — who would finally sq. off within the 2024 nationwide title recreation — there was no drama so far as which one was going to be the pre-tournament favourite in accordance with the Choice Committee.
That’s not the scenario this 12 months with Duke and Auburn.
The circumstances for each of the game’s prime canines are virtually equally compelling.
On one hand, there’s Auburn, which has constructed maybe the strongest resume because the NCAA launched the NET Rankings system. The Tigers have a whopping 17 Quadrant-I victories, simply essentially the most of any staff within the nation, and essentially the most of any staff because the NCAA went to the quadrant system. They’re a mixed 11-0 in video games exterior of Quadrant-I, they performed the hardest schedule in America in accordance with each metric, and so they locked up an outright championship within the hardest league within the sport earlier than the ultimate week of the common season even began.
Auburn additionally, after Saturday’s loss to Tennessee within the SEC match semifinals, has misplaced three of its final 4 video games. The Committee is not purported to take current play into heavier consideration than total resume, however there’s actually an opportunity that the Tigers enjoying the best way they did down the stretch and Duke enjoying the best way it did down the stretch may function type of a de facto tiebreaker.
The case for the Blue Devils is fairly easy. The Blue Devils are the No. 1 staff within the nation in each main human polls, they’re No. 1 within the NET, No. 1 on KenPom, No. 1 within the BPI, No. 1 on T-Rank, and No. 1 in nearly another rating system you could find. The freshly topped ACC match champions have misplaced only one recreation since Nov. 26, oh and by the best way, they beat Auburn head-to-head again on Dec. 4.
Neither head coach was above performing some politicking on Saturday.
For Jon Scheyer, that meant ensuring that everybody on the earth knew that star ahead Cooper Flagg, who sat out the ultimate two video games of the ACC match after struggling an ankle harm in Thursday’s quarterfinal, can be good to go for the Huge Dance.
Dan Gavitt simply mentioned on CBS that Duke/the ACC have communicated to the choice committee that Cooper Flagg can be accessible for the NCAA match.
— Nicole Auerbach (@NicoleAuerbach) March 15, 2025
For Bruce Pearl, the messaging was a bit extra direct.
Bruce Pearl with a message to the committee in his opening assertion:
“I consider this staff, from begin to end, has performed sufficient to be the No. 1 total seed for the NCAA Match…shedding to Tennessee — a staff ranked fifth or sixth within the nation — mustn’t essentially knock us…
— David Cobb (@DavidWCobb) March 15, 2025
A 12 months in the past, UConn turned the primary No. 1 total seed in 11 years to win the nationwide championship. Both Duke or Auburn can have an ideal likelihood at making it two in a row, however just one will get the chance.
2. Simply what number of groups does the SEC get into the sphere?
It’s been a foregone conclusion for weeks, perhaps months, that this 12 months’s SEC was going to set a brand new report for essentially the most variety of groups from a single convention in an NCAA match.
The present report is 11 from the Huge East again in 2011. The query now isn’t if the SEC goes to interrupt the report, it’s by what number of groups.
It will appear as if 11 groups from the SEC — Auburn, Florida, Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Missouri, Mississippi State, Georgia and Oklahoma — are all stone chilly locks to be within the subject of 68. Three different groups — Arkansas, Vanderbilt and Texas — are firmly on the bubble, with most bracketologists feeling just like the Razorbacks and Commodores can be within the subject, however being much less sure in regards to the Longhorns’ prospects.
The report goes to occur. It’s only a matter of whether or not the brand new mark is ready at 12, 13 or 14. Regardless, it’s doubtless going to be a very long time, if ever, earlier than we see the report matched or surpassed.
3. How a lot will Sunday’s championship video games matter?
The NCAA Match Choice Committee has been everywhere for the final decade with regards to the matter of how a lot the video games which are performed on Sunday are considering for the ultimate bracket.
One 12 months, they’ll say that the bracket is mainly set on Saturday night time and a few contingency brackets are created in case an enormous upset occurs in one of many video games on Sunday. In different years, they’ll dismiss the notion that the Sunday video games are performed too late within the course of for them to regulate on the fly.
How will they deal with this season? Who the hell is aware of?
Perhaps Florida vs. Tennessee is a de facto battle for the fourth No. 1 seed. Perhaps the winner of Maryland vs. Michigan will get a 4-seed and the loser can be resigned to the 5-line. Perhaps the Committee has already determined that VCU is out if it doesn’t win its A-10 championship recreation towards UAB.
We received’t know till we see the outcomes and get a bracket hours later.
What we do know is that there’s nonetheless a minimum of one potential bid thief on the market that the Committee should account for.
Memphis is within the subject. There’s no query about it. UAB just isn’t. The Tigers and Blazers will meet Sunday afternoon for the American Athletic match championship. If UAB prevails, it’ll completely knock out the staff that’s at present slated to be the final squad within the subject of 68.
The drama can be quick and unrelenting all day on Sunday. And that’s earlier than we get a bracket.